Wiki Hub / AI Forecast Charts & Bands

AI Forecast Charts & Confidence Bands

Q: What is the P10 Floor in the AI chart?

The P10 Floor is the pessimistic lower boundary of the price distribution (90% probability price stays above it). In the app, P10 serves as your dynamic algorithmic Stop-Loss.

Q: What is the P90 Target in the AI chart?

The P90 Target is the optimistic upper boundary of the price distribution (90% probability price trades below or up to it). It serves as your algorithmic Profit-Taking Target.

The Stock Detail screen is your algorithmic deep-dive suite, powered by Google TimesFM 2.5 neural foundation models and multi-source technical aggregation.

📈 3.1 Stock Detail Screen Anatomy

Every detail page combines live OHLCV price feeds, interactive neural forecast envelopes, historical backtesting audits, and real-time news sentiment. Click the screenshot below to zoom:

🔍 Tap to Zoom

1

P90 Bullish Target Ceiling Upper probabilistic price envelope boundary.

2

P50 Median AI Trajectory Central expected path projected by Google TimesFM.

3

P10 Algorithmic Stop-Loss Lower support floor protecting against downside crash.

4

Floating "TRADE" Button Execute zero-risk paper trades instantly.

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Forecast Tab (Default)

Displays the interactive AI forecast chart, past price history, probabilistic future envelopes (P10/P50/P90), and key valuation multiples.

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Backtest Tab

Shows the 6-Month and 2-Year audited strategy return, win rate, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, and Wall Street analyst consensus targets.

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Rankings Tab

Ranks the selected company within its specific industry and sector across momentum, valuation, earnings growth, and volatility metrics.

🎛️ 3.2 Probabilistic Corridor Simulator

Try switching horizons below to see how Google TimesFM 2.5 calculates probabilistic uncertainty bands over time:

📊 Probabilistic Corridor Simulator

Live Interactive Tool

Select Forecast Horizon:

7D Weekly Horizon Profile: Asymmetric Risk/Reward of 3.1 : 1. Favorable swing trading setup with tightly defined P10 downside floor.

🔍 3.3 Reading AI Probabilistic Charts

The centerpiece of the screen is the custom high-performance forecast canvas:

🟢 P90 Target (Ceiling / Optimistic Boundary)

Upper green dashed boundary. Statistically, there is a 90% probability that the price will trade below or up to this ceiling. In the app, P90 serves as the automated AI Profit-Taking Target. When a stock reaches P90, taking profits is mathematically recommended.

🔵 P50 Path (Expected Trajectory / Central Median)

Middle blue solid line. This is the single most statistically probable central price trajectory calculated by Google TimesFM. The difference between the live price and P50 at the horizon is your AI Price Target (Q50) return.

🔴 P10 Floor (Support / Pessimistic Boundary)

Lower red dashed boundary. Statistically, there is a 90% probability that the price will remain above this floor. If market conditions deteriorate and price falls through the P10 floor, the bullish thesis is invalidated. P10 serves as your Dynamic Algorithmic Stop-Loss.

📊 3.4 Time Horizon Accuracy & Curves

Why do the forecast bands become wider as you increase the forecasting period?

Horizon	Band Width	Accuracy Profile	How to Trade It
1 - 7 Days	Narrow	Highest Reliability	Short-term price momentum, order flow, and technical indicator alignment dominate. Tight stop-loss and profit target execution.
14 Days	Medium	Good Trend Reliability	Trend continuation across multi-day swing positions. Bands widen moderately to absorb routine market pullbacks.
30 Days	Wide	Directional Trend	External macro risks and economic news begin to introduce uncertainty. Use as a directional channel rather than an exact price target.
90 Days	Broad	Macro Cycle	Captures fundamental corporate earnings drift and broader market rotation cycles.

📋 3.5 Key Financial Metrics on Detail Screen

Below the forecast chart, the screen displays essential financial fundamentals to help you evaluate the company's financial health:

Market Cap: Total market value of all outstanding shares (Mega-Cap > \$200B, Large-Cap > \$10B, Mid-Cap \$2B–\$10B).
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings): Valuation multiple comparing share price to earnings per share.
PEG Ratio (P/E to Growth): P/E divided by earnings growth rate. A PEG below 1.0 suggests an undervalued growth stock.
Beta (Volatility Correlation): Measures how much the stock moves relative to the S&P 500. Beta > 1.0 means higher volatility; Beta < 1.0 means lower volatility.
52-Week Range (Low / High): Visual slider showing where current price sits relative to its past 52-week trading channel.
Average Volume (30D): 30-day daily trading volume, confirming institutional liquidity.

⚡ 3.6 The "TRADE" Action Button

At the bottom of the Detail Screen, you will find the prominent floating TRADE button. Tapping it opens the Simulated Trade Dialog, allowing you to instantly buy or sell shares using your virtual portfolio balance without risking real capital.

💡 One-Tap Workflow

When you discover a high-conviction BUY 85% signal with a favorable P10/P90 risk-reward setup, tap TRADE, choose your share quantity, and test your strategy inside the private portfolio simulator!